Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.591501 4.010756 4.466016 4.998188 5.604570 6.275569 7.076453
2025-02-23 3.006276 3.571446 4.230350 5.059550 6.081156 7.306269 8.898088
2025-03-02 2.545575 3.162553 3.920126 4.927163 6.243244 7.922080 10.253589
2025-03-09 2.246155 2.892526 3.720100 4.870578 6.449439 8.570858 11.689451
2025-03-16 2.013473 2.672061 3.545535 4.807057 6.612780 9.151435 13.075938
2025-03-23 1.908489 2.605197 3.560445 4.991095 7.123519 10.256424 15.345578
2025-03-30 1.762045 2.463291 3.452252 4.980164 7.338640 10.939393 17.050257
2025-04-06 1.628455 2.325555 3.333863 4.936099 7.489484 11.528146 18.667138
2025-04-13 1.455809 2.115227 3.088870 4.672076 7.262418 11.481798 19.199721
2025-04-20 1.372166 2.030916 3.025323 4.683061 7.474151 12.169499 21.089340
2025-04-27 1.317720 1.986249 3.017751 4.780526 7.834985 13.143688 23.626212
2025-05-04 1.267192 1.943201 3.008049 4.871255 8.189799 14.141848 26.345930
2025-05-11 1.211176 1.888938 2.978540 4.930193 8.503082 15.117415 29.208574
2025-05-18 1.157603 1.834730 2.944778 4.978377 8.801780 16.102223 32.253615
2025-05-25 1.076862 1.729492 2.816709 4.845971 8.746729 16.390426 33.849843
2025-06-01 1.016666 1.654720 2.735042 4.789953 8.830367 16.961247 36.157657
2025-06-08 0.960695 1.583408 2.654061 4.727536 8.893507 17.494346 38.461673
2025-06-15 0.946247 1.583372 2.699278 4.908046 9.464378 19.171489 43.794841
2025-06-22 0.904832 1.532620 2.648727 4.897320 9.636624 19.997626 47.159797
2025-06-29 0.862062 1.476719 2.584729 4.854095 9.734441 20.666401 50.235954
2025-07-06 0.793941 1.370676 2.420367 4.595087 9.338167 20.145699 50.032616
2025-07-13 0.765169 1.335749 2.388568 4.605864 9.540573 21.065589 53.978602
2025-07-20 0.748552 1.322472 2.397252 4.701482 9.944028 22.524087 59.752761